Rafael Nadal is gone. Novak Djokovic is struggling. And Jannik Sinner is back. It all should add up to a scintillating 2025 French Open. Let’s break down the men’s draw with help from UTR Sports INSIGHTS.
Favorites to win 2025 French Open Men’s Singles Title
23% - (1) Jannik Sinner (UTR Rating 16.38)
Sinner is back and has already returned to his winning ways, as shown with his run to the final in Rome. The world No. 1 fell to Carlos Alcaraz but the well-rested Italian just might capture his maiden French Open title this Paris fortnight.
Sinner may have to beat three-time champion Novak Djokovic to do it. The two could meet in the semifinals.
23% - (2) Carlos Alcaraz (UTR Rating 16.30)
The defending champion, Alcaraz just knocked off Sinner in Rome and is roaring into top form just in time for the season’s second Grand Slam tournament. He’ll open against Japanese legend Kei Nishikori and could meet big Ben Shelton from the U.S. in the Round of 16, with two-time finalist Casper Ruud potentially awaiting in the quarterfinals.
19% - (6) Novak Djokovic (UTR Rating 16.29)
The 38-year-old Djokovic will have a tough climb if he is to win his fourth French Open title. Djokovic faces Mackenzie McDonald of the U.S. in the first round and is slated to meet 2024 French Open finalist Alexander Zverev in the last eight. Sinner, as mentioned, could be greeting the Serbian in the semifinals.
To date, Djokovic is 15-7 on the year. He’ll need to win seven consecutive matches to leave Paris with another title.
5% - (5) Jack Draper (UTR Rating 16.07)
Draper is playing some of the best tennis of his life. He has done it on clay as well, reaching the final in Madrid and the quarterfinal in Rome. He is seeded to reach Sinner in the French Open quarterfinals.
3% - (3) Alexander Zverev (UTR Rating 15.93)
Zverev brings his highest level to clay but he hasn’t found his optimal range just yet since reaching the 2025 Australian Open final. Still, the German is a three-time Grand Slam finalist and could well find his best form while working his way into the draw.
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