Jannik Sinner is seeking his first Wimbledon trophy.

Wimbledon 2024 Men's Preview: Sinner, Alcaraz Lead the Field

While Novak Djokovic is fresh from knee surgery, he’s still firmly in the Wimbledon draw as the No. 2 seed and will still be hard to bet against. UTR Sports INSIGHTS isn’t counting him out either.

INSIGHTS is a unique analytics and predictions tool that shows winning probabilities based heavily on UTR Rating, the most accurate rating in the world. Let’s take a look at who’s most likely to win at SW19 and who the dark horses are.

Wimbledon 2024 Men’s Singles Favorites According to UTR Sports INSIGHTS

(1) Jannik Sinner (16.33) - 19%
(3) Carlos Alcaraz (16.29) - 19%
(2) Novak Djokovic (16.21) - 14%
(8) Casper Ruud (16.11) - 9%
(11) Stefanos Tsitsipas (16.07) - 7%
(5) Daniil Medvedev (16.01) - 4%
(13) Taylor Fritz (15.97) - 4%
(4) Alexander Zverev (16.06) - 4%
(12) Tommy Paul (15.93) - 3%
(9) Alex De Minaur (16.02) - 4%



View the Wimbledon men's draw here.

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Breaking Down the Wimbledon 2024 Men’s Favorites

(1) Jannik Sinner (16.33)

The newest ATP No. 1 is the top favorite according to INSIGHTS. As the 2024 Australian Open champion, Sinner has new familiarity with the winner’s podium at Grand Slams. After his Roland Garros semifinal loss to Carlos Alcaraz, Sinner bounced back quickly on grass to win the ATP 500 in Halle.




(3) Carlos Alcaraz (16.29)

Alcaraz has the same INSIGHTS odds as Sinner of winning Wimbledon, at 19%. The Spaniard is the defending champion at the All England Club, and seeking his fourth major. He’s gone 1-1 during the very brief grass swing, losing to Jack Draper at Queen’s Club. As the No. 3 seed at Wimbledon, Alcaraz will look to get his footing against qualifier Mark Lajal.

(2) Novak Djokovic (16.21)

Novak Djokovic has won Wimbledon seven times.

Even with the knee injury that forced him out of Roland Garros, Novak Djokovic can’t be discounted. The seven-time Wimbledon champion is looking to tie Roger Federer’s record (eight) and become the oldest All England Club winner at 37 years of age. He opens against qualifier Vit Kopriva.

Wimbledon 2024 Men’s Dark Horses

(12) Tommy Paul (15.93)

Yes, Tommy Paul is seeded No. 12 so he could also be counted as a favorite. The American won his biggest career title to date at Queen’s Club earlier this month. The 27-year-old has been around the block but he's still very new to Grand Slam success with his best result being the 2023 Australian Open semifinals. He’ll start his bid against Pedro Martinez.

(28) Jack Draper (15.74)

British 22-year-old Draper has had a sizzling grass-court swing. He won his first-ever ATP title at the ATP 250 in Stuttgart earlier this month, with wins over Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Berrettini. The next week, he stunned Alcaraz at Queen’s Club for the biggest victory of his young career. He’ll be seeded at a Grand Slam for the very first time.


Wimbledon 2024 Matches to Watch

Andy Murray (15.33) vs. Tomas Machac (15.86)

Though Andy Murray is a huge question mark to even play his first match, if he does take the court, everyone will be watching. The 37-year-old is dealing with a back injury that may end his career, for good.

“I feel that I deserve the opportunity to give it until the very last moment to make that decision,” Murray said according to Wimbledon on Thursday. “It’s complicated and it’s made more complicated because I want to play at Wimbledon one more time.”

Stan Wawrinka (15.40) vs. (WC) Charles Broom (14.03)

Like Murray, Wawrinka is another multiple Grand Slam champion lurking unseeded in the men’s draw. He actually played, and defeated, Murray in the first round of Roland Garros earlier this summer. The Swiss’ odds of winning are very high for his opening match against 26-year-old Brit Charles Broom, who is making his Wimbledon main draw debut.

Michelsen Reps UTR Pro Tennis Tour

The UTR Pro Tennis Tour is represented in the men’s main draw by Alex Michelsen, Ben Shelton, and Adam Walton. Michelsen has notably honed his game on the PTT in Newport Beach, winning two titles before his ATP career took off. The young American will make his Wimbledon debut against Lloyd Harris.


More on Wimbledon 2024

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