Iga Swiatek with her Roland Garros trophy in 2023.

Roland Garros 2024 Women's Preview: Swiatek, Collins in Peak Form

There’s little question over who is the biggest favorite in Paris, and no, it’s not Rafael Nadal. Though the King of Clay will be at Roland Garros this year (possibly for the last time), he’s unseeded and a question mark.

The true favorite is 22-year-old Iga Swiatek, who’s riding a 12-match winning streak after capturing titles in both Madrid and Rome.

Roland Garros 2024 Women's Singles Favorites According to UTR Sports Insights

(1) Iga Swiątek (13.28) - 34%
(4) Elena Rybakina (12.96) - 11%
(11) Danielle Collins (12.90) - 10%
(2) Aryna Sabalenka (12.92) - 10%
(3) Coco Gauff (12.83) - 8%
(19) Victoria Azarenka (12.83) - 3%
(9) Jelena Ostapenko (12.61) - 2%
(7) Qinwen Zheng (12.67) - 2%
(15) Elina Svitolina (12.60) - 2%
(6) Maria Sakkari (12.68) - 2%

Breaking Down the Roland Garros 2024 Women’s Favorites

Iga Swiatek (UTR Rating 13.28)

Swiatek leads the women’s draw as the top seed and a four-time champion. According to UTR Sports INSIGHTS (a unique prediction and analytics tool), she has a 34% chance of winning the crown. If Swiatek does win the Suzanne-Lenglen again this year, she’d become the first woman to three-peat at a major since Serena Williams (US Open 2010-2012) and first at Roland Garros since Justine Henin (2005-2007). While she opens against a qualifier or lucky loser, she could face Naomi Osaka in the second round.

Aryna Sabalenka (12.92)

Aryna Sabalenka comes in as the fourth most likely woman to win the clay-court major but gets an asterisk for her recent form (Elena Rybakina is actually second with 11% odds). As the No. 2 seed, Sabalenka won’t have to deal with Swiatek until the final. Having lost to her twice this year (in the Madrid and Rome finals), Sabalanka is also 3-8 overall against the Pole. But she defended her Australian Open crown this year and has certainly found her rhythm on clay with two straight finals.

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Coco Gauff (12.83)

Coco Gauff reached her first Grand Slam final in Paris in 2022 and captured her maiden major at the US Open last year. The 20-year-old American is up to her career-best WTA ranking of No. 3. Though she began the 2024 season with a title (in Auckland), she’ll be seeking a lot more success this fortnight as she seeks her second Grand Slam title.

Danielle Collins (12.90)

Outside of Swiatek, Danielle Collins has been one of the hottest players on tour. Since announcing plans to retire, the 30-year-old has won titles in Miami and Charleston and reached the semifinals in Rome. Miami, a WTA 1000, was the biggest trophy of the American’s career. A finalist in Melbourne in 2022, Collins knows how to navigate her way through a major. She’s ranked No. 12 on the WTA tour, but No. 4 by UTR Rankings. She’s in third position according to INSIGHTS as most likely to win the title, with 10% odds.

Roland Garros 2024 Women's Dark Horses to Watch

Emma Navarro (12.66)

While Collins has been flying the American flag all the way to the podium this spring, Emma Navarro isn’t far behind. Seeded No. 22 in Paris, the 23-year-old has enjoyed a breakthrough season with a title in Hobart, a quarterfinal run in Indian Wells (complete with a win over Sabalenka), and a finalist finish at the WTA 125K in Paris this week.

Mirra Andreeva (12.58)

It’s hard not to get excited about Mirra Andreeva, a Czech 17-year-old already ranked inside the Top 40 on the WTA Tour. Though she may face Victoria Azarenka in the second round, Andreeva has proven she’s ready for the big stage with wins this year over Ons Jabeur, Marketa Vondrousova, and Jasmine Paolini. Stay tuned for more coverage of Roland Garros, powered by INSIGHTS.

More on Roland Garros 2024

See the Roland Garros women's draw

Read: Previewing the Roland Garros men's draw

Read: Swiatek Wins Titles in Rome and Madrid

Tennis players playing tennis after upgrading to Power and saving money one events with UTR Sports

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