Jannik Sinner looks to win his first Wimbledon title this week

Wimbledon 2024 Week 1 Recap: Sinner, Alcaraz, Navarro, Collins

They’ve had to battle but the Wimbledon men’s favorites – Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and Carlos Alcaraz – are still around.

But the same can’t be said for the women's favorites, who were knocked out during week one at the All England Club. Let’s recap week one and look ahead to what to expect in week two with UTR Sports INSIGHTS.

Swiatek, Gauff knocked out early

As dominant as Iga Swiatek (UTR Rating 13.25) is on the red clay, she has yet to master the green grass, despite a Wimbledon junior championship to her resume.

Swiatek fell in the third round at Wimbledon to Yulia Putintseva of Kazakhstan (12.37), who faces Jelena Ostapenko (12.46) for a place in the quarterfinals.

Swiatek has won the French Open four times but has yet to reach a semifinal at Wimbledon.

American Coco Gauff (12.79), the second seed and reigning US Open champion, also fell victim to the upset bug when countrywoman Emma Navarro (12.67) treated their fourth-round match with the utmost professionalism.

The 19th-seeded Navarro, playing at Wimbledon for only the second time, beat Gauff 6-4, 6-3. Just three years ago, Navarro won the NCAA women’s singles title at the University of Virginia.

She’ll face seventh seed Jasmine Paolini (12.67) for a place in the semifinals. INSIGHTS has Paolini as a 17% favorite to win her first major title, just ahead of Navarro (16%).

Paolini won six straight matches in Paris to reach her first major championship final at Roland Garros but hadn’t won a match at Wimbledon before last week. She advanced to the last eight when American Madison Keys (12.73) retired tearfully at 5-5 in the third set.

Danielle Collins (12.88), who won two NCAA titles at Virginia and was one of two recipients of the Universal Tennis Foundation Hurd Award in 2021, is also making the most of her stay in Wimbledon. The 30-year-old American meets 2021 Roland Garros champion Barbora Krejcikova (12.34) for a place in the semifinals.

Collins is nearly the favorite to win her first Grand Slam title, according to INSIGHTS, with a 20% chance, just behind 2022 champion Elena Rybakina (12.98) of Kazakhstan (21%).

Men’s favorites Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic battle through

American Frances Tiafoe (15.30) had defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (16.27) on the ropes in the third round, up two sets to one, and Italian Matteo Berrettini (15.87) similarly was testing No. 1 Jannik Sinner (16.29) in the second round.

But both Alcaraz and Sinner battled through the early tests and are looking primed for a semifinal showdown later this week.

Sinner meets fifth seed Daniil Medvedev (15.98) in the quarterfinals, whereas Alcaraz faces 12th seed Tommy Paul of the U.S. in a must-see showdown. The two have split their four meetings.

Sinner is still the INSIGHTS favorite to win his second major championship title, at 24%, with Alcaraz just behind, at 23%.

Not to be outdone, seven-time champion Novak Djokovic (16.21), the second seed, twice dropped a set en route to the fourth round (including against UTR Pro Tennis Tour champion Jacob Fearnley).

Djokovic meets Denmark’s Holger Rune for a place in the quarterfinals. Djokovic has been wearing a hefty brace on his left knee. He underwent surgery last month after tearing his meniscus.

Never count out the 24-time major champion, who has almost quietly gone about yet another second-week Slam showing. INSIGHTS pegs Djokovic as a 18% favorite to win his eighth Wimbledon title and tie Roger Federer’s all-time mark.

One of Djokovic's longtime rivals, Andy Murray (15.37) didn't compete in singles due to injury but did play his last match at Wimbledon. He and brother Jamie Murray fell in the first round of doubles.

More from Wimbledon 2024

INSIGHTS and UTR Ratings accurate as of 10 a.m. ET, Monday, July 8, 2024.

Back to blog